David wrote:THE LIONS WIN THE GAME IF....
* They can get pressure and penetration on the Esks O-line. They're playing w/out Tony Washington at LT. Meanwhile, Jabar Westerman is out for the Lions, but this gives us the opportunity to start Bryant Turner and Mich'ael Brooks in the interior with Menard rotating in at DE - something I've been calling for all season (why not put Parker out on the field corner? It gives us more options and he's proven himself capable there).
* As mentioned above, Reilly will kill us if he has time. If he's under pressure, we'll force him to make throws he doesn't want to make or eat the football (you have to be very careful with him.....he draws a lot of "roughing the passer" penalties by virtue of holding onto the ball 'til the last possible second!). Either way, Reilly can nickel and dime us to death - time or no time. It's important that we take away the short/intermediate passing game. Turning Bighill into a DB is a recipe for disaster. Limit those completions across the middle to Walker and Bowman - death by a thousand paper cuts.
THE LIONS LOSE THE GAME IF....
* We can't turn our fortunes around in the turnover battle. Statistics show if you have more turnovers than the opposition, you'll probably lose the game. While it's not always the case, I don't want this to be the game to test that theory. More ball-hawking by our secondary please! (hopefully Edem gets on a roll, building on the 2 pics last game). I think you'll see Jonathon take fewer chances airing it out to the wide side of the field, especially late.
* I like the Esks' front 4 more than the Bombers, but I think the Bombers' secondary is more dangerous than Edmonton's. By far. Also, no more 3rd and 1 field goal attempts in the Red Zone, Wally.

Show some confidence in your O-line! These late season battles are won by taking risk. How many times have we said "not coming away with a TD is going to come back to bite us" with Wally's teams. And they usually do!
DH

Excellent post david. I enjoyed reading it.
Washington will be replaced by 6-foot-6, 320-pound Joel Figueroa. He was picked up by Edmonton as a free agent but has been a healthy scratch all season. He played in 26 games – including both Grey Cup finals when he was a Tiger Cat - so he has experience.
Like you, I've been wanting to see us play two International tackles all season. I also want Menard to get more reps. We'll miss Westerman - he's had a very good season. But it would not be difficul to play both Brooks and Turner as well as Westerman. When we go with two International tackles on the field, we play Menard at defensive end. When we have Westerman and one of the International tackles on the field, we play Roh. We can also add Lokombo to the equation, because when he is on the field, we can also play two International tackles. I also believe we should rotate Lokombo into Sol E. and Bighill's spot once in a while to keep them fresh.
So there is no need to start Parker at field corner, as you suggested but I would take Parker or Thompson over Stewart anyway.
On offence, Arseneaux had 150 yds receving against Edmonton which included a 75 yd. touchdown celebration (Manny went over to the end line and impromptu celebrated with a drink). However all the rest of our receivers were basically shut down that game and Jennings had his worst passing percentage game as a Leo (45%). Shocking! And all Edmonton did was play Man/Cover 2 and we had no answers. One bit of good news is that Gary Peters gets his second start of the season in the Edmonton backfield. Manny burned him in his first start, which was against us in Edmonton.
We don't open up the playbook. More screens and creative misdirection (how about a fake jet sweep to Rainey that goes the other way to Sinkfield?). If the Esks take away Burnham and Arceneaux by going Cover 2 (with two defenders acting as safeties) with man coverage, we need some quick hitters to offer Jennings so he's not throwing up passes that can be picked off.
Lots of ways to destroy man coverage underneath - slants, rub routes, crosses, bunch formations, screens, etc. But the real key is the use of the tailback in the passing game. If Benevedes goes Man/Cover 2 again, that means 7 defenders defending the pass and four linemen rushing leaves only one linebacker to cover Rainey and account for Jennings,
A key aspect of attacking that defense is to exploit its weakness - the one linebacker. The fake to Rainey, reverse to Sinkfield is a good concept. The jet sweep to Sinkfield the one time we ran it, netted 21 yds. We should get the ball to Rainey in the passing game, against that linebacker. We can also use a rub route against him and get the football to Johnson. We can screen against him. We can send Rainey quickly to the flat (the linebacker has to cover him and run a quarterback draw. We can use a inside read option, fake the handoff to the tailback and Jennings can run outside. The linebacker will be drawn by the fake handoff.
We can use misdirection, as you mentioned david, as in going with a misdirection play action and semi-boot Jennings. If Jennings gets outside, the linebacker has to cover either Jennings potential to run or cover Rainey. Put the linebacker on an island.
We should not run the hitch screen. It almost cost us an interception last game against Edmonton and also netted us a 7 yard loss - not the play to call against press man coverage if Edmonton plays it. We don't need to throw into double coverage.
I totally agree with you that Wally needs to go for it on 3rd and 1. Last time we played Edmonton, late in the 3rd quarter, on the Eskimos 35 yard line, it was second and 1. Johnson got 0 yds on a rush. Then Wally kicked a 35 yard field goal on third and 1. There are two patterns we've been seeing lately. We can't get two yards on second and two or one yard on second and one. But not gambling on third and one, in the oppostions end of the field is not conservative football. Its bad percentage football.
Red zone offence is so important. Last game, Khari Jones dials up a hitch screen inside the Edmonton five yard line. Terrible play call against man defense anyway but especially inside the five yard line and three cracks for a touchdown. We end up kicking a field goal inside the Edmonton five yard line. In the fourth quarter of that last game, we end up kicking a 10 yard field goal.
Those trips, deep inside the opposition's red zone, and not scoring a touchdown really hurt us. Wally not gambling on third and one doesn't help us. Not being able to convert second and two or less really hurts. We make so many great plays and then throw so many points away.
Hey, its not hard to be an offensive coordinator by having your quarterback in the pocket and running simple pass plays. That is easy. Send Burnham on a post, Sinkfield on a corner pattern and Iannuzzi on an out. Send Gore deep and Manny on a dig pattern. How hard is that? Then watch Jennings evade the rush, and with a defender in his face, have Jennings throw a purrfect pass into double coverage and watch Burnham or Manny outleap two defenders. Wow, brilliant offensive coordination work. Impressive!
The art of offensive coordination is game planning against an opposition weaknesses, using a diversified play book so you can attack those weaknesses, and play calling. Khari Jones game plan is always the same. His play calling baffles. His red zone play calling is often terrible. Teams tighten down there and you need quick slants, rub routes, quick digs, quick crosses etc. But no, we have Jennings throwing 25 yard passes from inside the opposition 5 yard line or we run hitch screens down there, or we run a Manny misdirection motion play down there that the opposition saw the week before and therefore we tip the play off because its the ony time we ever use that motion. We don't gamble on third and one down there. We run the tailback pass option play without setting it up properly and we run it against Man/Cover 3. Huh??
Jones seems to just have a list of pass plays and calls them randomly. He doesn't set anything up. He runs draw plays on second and 20 yards, when we are behind in a game. If Khari Jones had Matt Nichols as his quarterback, instead of Jennings, we would never score.
We only scored two field goals in the second half against Edmonton last time we played them.
I sure hope that Khari has a good game plan against Edmonton today. He needs to help Jennings and our receivers with some smart game planning and some good plays rather than just forcing Jennings and Manny and Burnham to make great plays when the defence knows what is coming.