The computer model chose Winnipeg as having a higher chance of finishing first in the West over our B.C. Lions. It only gives our Leos a 1.57% chance of winning the Grey Cup.
Obviously the computer simulation does not take into account Wally's challenge calls.
The probabilities of playing in the Grey Cup for all CFL teams, based on CFL Computer Simulation were as follows:West Division
Team Projection
Calgary Stampeders 90.67%
Winnipeg Blue Bombers 6.58%
BC Lions 2.73%
Edmonton Eskimos 0.02%
Saskatchewan Roughriders Less than 1 in 10,000
Probabilities of Appearing in the 104th Grey Cup
Team Projection
Hamilton Tiger-Cats 91.79%
Calgary Stampeders 72.58%
Winnipeg Blue Bombers 23.73%
Montreal Alouettes 5.95%
BC Lions 3.60%
Ottawa REDBLACKS 1.50%
Toronto Argonauts 0.76%
Edmonton Eskimos 0.09%
Saskatchewan Roughriders Less than 1 in 10,000
Probabilities of Winning the 104th Grey Cup
Source: cfl.caTeam Projection
Calgary Stampeders 52.94%
Hamilton Tiger-Cats 27.92%
Winnipeg Blue Bombers 16.80%
BC Lions 1.57%
Montreal Alouettes 0.60%
Toronto Argonauts 0.07%
Ottawa REDBLACKS 0.06%
Edmonton Eskimos 0.04%
Saskatchewan Roughriders Less than 1 in 10,000