Here is a long pre-game thread read for a rainy day.
The Riders have a lot to play for, in front of their home crowd. The Riders still have a chance to finish in 1st place in the West. The Calgary Stampeders have been struggling on offence in the second half of this season and numerous injuries to their receiving corps has not helped their cause.
WHEN THE BLACK CATS PROWL AND THE PUMPKINS GLEAM, MAY LUCK BE WITH OUR LEOS JUST BEFORE HALLOWEEN
Both the Riders and our Leos strengths this season have been their defenses. Saskatchewan’s defense ranks 2nd in the CFL, in terms of opponents’ net yards. Our Leos defense presently ranks 4th but has steadily climbed the CFL rankings.Our B.C. Lions, presently the CFL’s hottest team, with a win in Regina, could move up the standings into 3rd place in the West, with a win in Regina, combined with a Bombers loss in Calgary.
During the first part of the season, it was the CFL’s second worst defense, with only Montreal’s defense being worse.
The Riders offence ranks 8th in the CFL. Steve McAdoo uses the most prevalent RPO scheme in the CFL, and it only averaging 325 yds. of offence per game. It ranks 7th in first downs.But since the mid-point of the season, it has been dominant, except for a few occasions as well as the Hamilton back to back series, when we switched back to zone defense.
The Riders passing attack, also stuck in mostly an RPO scheme, has struggled for most of the season. Only the Riders running game, which ranks 3rd in the CFL, has given their offence any impetus in most games.Jarious Jackson’s offence, which only most recently moved away from an RPO dominated scheme ranks 7th in the CFL, only averaging 326 yds. per contest. It ranks 8th in 1st downs.
Our Leos running game ranked 8th for most of this 2018 season but recently has jumped up to 5th in the CFL, off the back of our last three contests, when we have made a determined effort to rush the football.
A TALE OF TWO HALVES
First Half of the 2018 Season
The difference between our Leos first half of this 2018 season and the second half of this season has been like night and day.
Our defense was stuck, most of the time, in the zone scheme we had used for many seasons. There were some games in which our defense played well for parts of the game but the missed assignments or assignment confusion continued to be an issue.Our Leos went into a bye week, at the half way point of this season with a 3-6 record. Our Leos were in last place in the West and things looked dismal, to say the least. Our offence and defense had struggled.
On offence, we were using Jarious Jackson’s RPO scheme, with modified Spread for second and long situations at times. The results were mediocre.
There wasn’t a lot to smile about as our Leos were out of a playoff spot. Jennings had been blamed for our offensive woes in our first 3 games,We were 1-2 with Jonathan Jennings as our starter and 2-4 with Travis Lulay behind center. While Travis ran the RPO offence a little better, both quarterbacks had quarterback efficiencies that were not anything to be happy with.
Lulay had been yelled at by Buono, on the sidelines in two different games, Rainey was being criticized for his lack of production, and Leo players were being blamed for not executing and making plays.
The Second Half of 2018 (so far)
Since that mid-season bye, its been a different story. Our Leos went out and won 6 of their next seven games.
At the mid-season point, our defensive players advocated to the coaching staff that they wanted to play man pass defense and our defensive scheme was changed.
Changes on offence took much longer.
We had lost our two previous games to Toronto and Saskatchewan as we prepared to play the Ottawa Red Blacks.
We needed to beat Ottawa and we needed to keep wining if we wanted a chance for a playoff berth.It all began in an almost strange way.
.In the first quarter of that game, Cody Husband was injured. Pearce took over at center and his bad snaps only stifled an offence that was struggling enough without adding more misery
Ricky Collins Jr. recorded his first 100 yard receiving game, setting a new career high with 10 receptions, and our offence scored 16 second half points.Travis Lulay also was injured in the first quarter of that game (eye injury) but returned to play until he was hit by two unblocked Ottawa Red Blacks and was forced out of the game due to a head injury.
Jennings, who had not started since Game 3 came into the game in the second quarter. Jonathon Jennings completed 10/12 passes in relief of Lulay.
Our defense, led by Odell Willis with three sacks, created problems for the REDBLACKS all night long, recording six total sacks and forcing three interceptions as we won the game 26-14. Our winning streak had begun.
Travis Lulay returned as our starter for our next game against Montreal but he was injured early in the first quarter and once again Jonathan Jennings came into the game once again in relief, this time early in the first quarter.
Our Leos won the game 32-14, as our defense sacked Pipkin 7 times and intercepted 3 passes, two of them going for Pick 6’s in the fourth quarter.
Perhaps the most pivotal and crucial game of our winning streak came against Hamilton at home. This time, we could not rely on our defense. Hamilton forced our defense back into zone and Masoli shredded our defense, completing 76% of his passes for 311 yds. in the contest.However, it was learned that Lulay had suffered a dislocated shoulder and would be on the shelf for the next four weeks.
Jennings, starting for the injured Travis Lulay, threw three touchdown passes and no interceptions, finishing his night with 346 passing yardsJennings, started the game for the injured Travis Lulay and our Leos pulled off what was called a ‘near impossible comeback or what cfl.ca referred to as the ‘comeback of the ages’ to stun the Tiger Cats, 35-32 in overtime.
We scored 18 4th quarter points.In the fourth quarter, with the game looking like it was almost out of reach, we abandoned our RPO offence.
Bryan Burnham hauled in a 20-yard touchdown pass from Jonathon
Jennings with no time on the clock, adding a two-point conversion to send the game to overtime on a tip-toe catch that needed to be reviewed and overturned.
Our Leos played Hamilton in the return match and were soundly defeated 40-10 in what became known as Logogate.It was our 3rd win in a row.
We never recovered from that 20-0 first quarter shellacking. The game turned into a rout as both our defense and our offence looked like disasters.Once again, with our defense playing zone, Hamilton shrededed our defense for 20 first quarter points while their defense shut our offence completely down to start the game.
We finally began running the football and Jermiah Johnson ran 19 times for 118 yds.But the next week we defeated Toronto at home. Our Leos took a 26-10 lead in the game.
But the Argos switched quarterbacks, putting in Franklin. We played zone a lot in the second half (we don't seen to learn easily) and the Argos mounted a comeback but fell short 26-23.
Our next game was in Calgary and we needed to keep winning. The game was a defensive battle, with our defense holding Bo Levi Mitchell to a miserable 44% passing for a miserable 146 yds. Offensively we only passed for 194 yds.It was time for Jennings to pass the torch back to Travis Lulay but our Leos were 4-1 with him at the helm and without him, a playoff spot might have been out of the cards.
But Sutton, getting his first start as a Leo rushed for over 100 yds. on 22 carries and Anthony Parker’s 78 yd. punt return was a key play.
That set up last week’s key match with Edmonton. Edmonton jumped to an early lead 12-0 lead. But an very exciting Chris Rainey kick return touchdown and a Behar fumble and Thompson recovery got us back into the game.We only scored two second half field goals for the second game in a row but our defense held Calgary to only one second half field goal as we upset the Stamps at home. We played man defense most of the way and the Stamps offence struggled.
Lulay went vertical, hitting Burnham deep for 50 yds. and by the time the third quarter was over, Lulay had thrown three touchdown passes, two of which were to Devier Posey.Edmonton held Lulay and our offence down to 37 yds. passing, along with an interception, in the first half as our pass plays focused on short possession passes. Only our running game was going. But in the second half, just as in the home game against Hamilton, we abandoned the RPO styled short passing game.
As we head into Saskatchewan, our Leos have won mostly with outstanding defense.That third quarter explosion was the catalyst for a 42-32 victory.
On Saturday, against the Riders, we’ll be going for win number 7 of our last 8 contests. What a second half turnaround.But in games in which we needed our offence to rack up points, both Jonathan Jennings, against Hamilton and Travis Lulay, against Edmonton both got it done by going vertical. With only the minor blemish in Hamilton our Leos have won and kept on winning in the second half of this season.
The GLASS HALF FULL, THE GLASS HALF EMPTY
Everyone looks at life though a different set of binoculars. Our reality is influenced by our own individual subjectivity.
The starting quarterback position is often a heavy focus (too heavy a focus in my opinion) and game planning, play calling, and game management decisions are often much discussed as are many other topics.The same holds true for football fans. On Lionbackers, there are diverse views of the Leos games we watch and the effectiveness and impact of our coaching.
Perhaps the biggest focus of diverse views on Lionbackers concerns our Leos Head Coach and coaching staff.That’s a good thing. It would be a boring website if we all thought the same or saw Leos football the same. When we stick to the topic and don’t make it personal, Lionbackers provides a variety of insights and opinions that make this a very interesting website to read.
The ”Buono-ites” and the “Revolutionists’
It’s difficult to create two words that describe each ‘camp’ when Buono and our coaching staff are discussed. But for lack of better words, I have chosen two.
The views and opinions of Lionbackers actually range along a continuum and are often not black and white and have much more 'grey' than will be presented. But there is at least a tendency for many Lionbackers to be a strong Buono supporter or not.
Of course there are many Lionbackers who tend to operate in the ‘middle’ when it comes to Buono and our coaching staff, such as Toppy Vann, who either has great perspective and wisdom or ‘headed’ too many soccer balls during his life.The reasons are multiple but one of those reasons is Buono’s style of coaching, which tends to create strong opinions.
LiKe Buono himself, they tend to put the onus on player execution as the major factor in our Leos winning or losing. They viewed Jonathan Jennings as the major culprit for our lack of offensive success.“Buono-ites” tend to be very loyal to Buono and his long or longer time assistants Dan Dorazio and Mark Washington. They view Buono as a legendary coach with a long successful proven record as well as continue to view Buono as a very good football coach..or even better.
They also tend to be supportive of Buono when he identifies players and deems them responsible for losses.
They are steadfast in their support of Buono and his coaching staff, even when we don’t make the playoffs, like last season or when we were 3-6 and in last place during the first half of this season.The ‘Buono-ites’ tend to view themselves as more devoted or ‘true blue’ (‘true orange') Leo fans.
They also tend to have a ‘disciple’ approach or at least a very passionate approach to in their support of Buono or his coordinators.
The ‘Revolutionists’, while giving Buono credit for past success, tend to view Buono as a coach who too often has hindered our Leos talent, by scheme, by game planning, play calling, and game management and also by publicly criticizing players.They are often staunch in their views, are consistent, and tend to regard any Lionbacker who is critical of Buono or any of his coordinators as disloyal, or being an agitator/mutineer/dissident, or at least label them as being ‘too ‘negative’.
The Revolutionists, while being very supportive of Travis Lulay as our starter, are usually supportive of all Leos players.
They did not consider Jonathan Jennings as the major problem of our offence but rather our scheme and play calling. The ‘Revolutionists’ are usually very supportive of a Leo player if he has been thrown under the bus.
The 'Revolutionists' do not view themselves as subversive or as ‘traitors’ for not viewing Buono’s schemes, coaching style, or game management in a positive light.
Both the ‘Buono-ites’ and the ‘Revolutionists’ create diverse views that provide multiple perspectives on Lionbackers. They help make it always an interesting football website to read and post to.They also don’t see themselves as being less loyal Leo fans. In fact, they view themselves as very loyal Leo fans who want the best for Leos football.
As there is often a ‘disciple’ aspect to ‘Buono-ites, there is also a ‘freedom fighter’ passion to the Revolutionists, tending to view themselves as fighting for the truth or supporting Leo players who they view as being scapegoated, rather than ‘drinking the Kool Aid or being ‘too negative’.
THE DIFFERING VIEWS OF EACH HALF OF THE 2018 SEASON
‘Buono-ites’ tended to view the first half of the 2018 season as mainly a player issue. The prevailing view was that it basically took a half of a season for our Leos players on defense to get used to playing with each other. Once that happened (plus the addition of Shawn Lemon), our defense got on track.
Player mistakes, penalties, missed assignments, along with unfamiliarity with each other, on defense, were considered our major issues before our defence began playing very well.
On offence, the ‘Buono-ites’ viewed our offensive issues in the first half of the season as mainly a Jennings issue (even though he only started 3 of our first 9 games). They also tended to view dropped passes, receiver talent, poor execution, penalties, inadequate individual blocking, etc as being major culprits.‘Buono-ites often considered our Leos talent as not being ‘good enough’ or our execution ‘good enough' during the first half of our 2018 season.
Buono-ites also tended to view Jarious Jackson’s offence favorably and tended to a viewpoint that it was unfamiliarity with a new style possession style of passing and our players just needed better execution.
The Revolutionists viewed things very differently. They believed that our Lions had much more talent than our win-loss record of the first half of this season. I wrote, (as a Revolutionist of course ) at the start of the season that I believed that we had Grey Cup winning talent, for example.
WCJ, for example, had posted for a long, long time that we needed a more aggressive defensive scheme and to get out of our passive zone style defense.The Revolutionists tended to believe that it was our scheme on defense (passive zone), our RPO styled offence (post-snap reads, blocking for run and pass at the same time), penchant for a simplified ‘up the gut’ philosophy for our offensive running game and our punt return game were our major issues.
Revolutionists also viewed game management decisions, at times, as another issue that that hurt us at times, in the first half of the 2018 season, as well as in the longer past.
WHAT IS THE REALITYThey viewed us in ‘’plug and play’ schemes, rather than adapting our schemes to our players, and viewed those plug and play schemes as inadequate, until they changed.
If reality can be impacted by our own subjectivity, what is reality?
Here are some facts.
Our defense switched to man pass defense in the second half of this season. They have played outstanding football in man and the only times they have not primarily played man defense (going back to zone) was against Hamilton in both games and in the second half against Toronto, while protecting a lead.Our Lions lost with both of our quarterbacks in the first half of the season. Jennings was 1-3 and Lulay was 2-4. In the second half of his season, Jennings was 4-1 (coming into two of those wins in the second and first quarter) and is 2-0 with Lulay, in wins over Calgary and Edmonton.
On offence, until we played Edmonton last week, we mostly remained in RPO during the second half of this season. We came out of RPO in the second half of the Hamilton game at home.
In the passing game, in this second half of this season, when Jennings was starting, offensive success came off non-RPO pre-snap pass plays.In our game against Ottawa and especially since Sutton started two games ago, we have used pre-snap running plays with lead blocking, as well as trap and kickout blocking.
When Lulay took over as our starter against Calgary, we stopped using RPO and instead used Sutton as a pass blocker, rather than for misdirection run fakes but still used our possession style pass plays most of the time, with limited success.
Against Edmonton, we used possession styled pass plays, with the same designed routes, as our RPO pass plays in the first half of that game.Lulay only had 194 yds. passing against Calgary and his only success in that game came off vertical style pocket passing plays.
Similarly, to the second half of the home game against Hamilton, )when Jennings was quarterbacking) we opened up our offensive passing game and went with vertical layered patterns.
The difference in success between post-snap RPO and pre-snap running and pre-snap passing plays, when we have used pocket pass blocking and layered vertical routes has been astounding.Lulay went deep and often, as Jennings did against Hamilton for his miracle finish against Hamilton. Lulay led us to a third quarter offensive explosion, hitting Burnham and Posey deep.
Parker gave up ground on a punt return and raced wide for a 78 yarder against Calgary that led to a quick 4 yd. touchdown. Rainey, against Edmonton, did not follow his wedge, but took it wide and then cut up at the first open seam to take it all the way.
In both of our last two wins, punt and kick returns that were difference makers. An both did not come from ‘up the gut’ runs that Wally had benched Rainey for not exectuting to his satisfaction previously.
The only problem for that season is that we did not have hot reads or a layered passing game to give our quarterback a safety valve against pressure.The recipe of 2016 success was back. That season, we ran the football often and then passed deep.
Our major problem that season was that we played passive zone behind, rather than man defense, as we are playing now (and therefore are more aggressive)On defense, in 2016, we got pressure on the opposing quarterback.
For most of this season he did not have that freedom. But Parker and Rainey have shown, in our last two contests, that the ability to have variety in punt and kick return choice pays big dividends.In 2016, Rainey had the freedom to take it wide if he chose to. He was the best and most dangerous return man in the CFL.
LIONBACKER PREDICTIONS
As we prepare to play the Riders, with a playoff spot now secure, lets look back to our pre-season predictions.
I’ll start first, in terms of ‘accountability. In my first regular season game thread of the season I wrote:
B.C. Fan wrote, before our season began:There is hope in Leo Land for 2018. The personnel changes we have seen this off-season, from free agent signings to trades are not the types of changes we have seen in the past under Buono as GM.
How these changes will work out is yet to be determined. A new era is beginning in B.C. One can feel the transition. Most predict our Leos to finish either last or fourth in the West. But this 2018 Leos team could surprise.
Jarious Jackson said, before the season began said he planned to use Rainey at running back, and as much as he could, wherever else without compromising his team’s kick-return game.One of my biggest takeaways from training camp in Kamloops was that Chris Rainey will be the player to watch on the B.C. offence this year. He has great hands and speed. Expect him to get lots of touches. If they can get him the ball in space, he can break down defences.
The Province's R.J. Adams provided a warning, even though that was not his intention:“Any situation where I feel I can get him the ball in space,” he said. “We’re still going to hand him the ball in the backfield, we’re still going to expect him to protect, but he’s definitely a dynamic player.
“Anytime you can design plays where you can potentially get him in a one-on-one matchup, or get him the ball in space, it basically becomes a punt return for him.”
The adaptive aspect has taken a long, long time.Burt don’t expect to see Jackson swinging for the fences or the home run play call every time the Lions are in possession; he’s got a more patient, adaptive philosophy.
After our first game of the season, B.C. Fan posted:
After our first game of the season I wrote”I wrote, in the post game comments thread“So many things went wrong in this game, it's hard to lay the blame on anything but coaching. The Lions were beaten by their own overly conservative philosophy".
LIONBACKES PREDICT OUR 2018 SEASON RECORD.Meanwhile, on offence, our Leos offence lacked rhythm and consistency. Jarious Jackson mixed his run/pass option plays with some West Coast and spread offence but it was a disjointed effort. Five quarterback sacks, penalties, and dropped footballs added to our offensive issues against Edmonton.
Wins and losses are too often attributed overwhelmingly to quarterback play when quite often its not that simple. But I am now of the mind, that when Travis Lulay is healthy, I believe we should give him the controls.
If we expect to beat the best teams this season, we are not going to get it done by having Jonathan Jennings become a game manager type of quarterback throwing short passes off the run/pass option.
controls for a while.
I was hoping that Jackson would keep the good and throw out the bad, add some new concepts and design his offence around our players talents and strengths.
But its not just Jonathan Jennings who is not suited for this type of offensive style of play. Bryan Burnham is also not suited for this offence, we’ve completely changed our offence, to a new type of plug and play offence that does not match some of our players strengths while given them an entire new offence to learn, with new terminology, new reads, etc. etc.
I was hoping Jarious Jackson would build our offence around our players talents and strengths. as hoping that Jackson would keep the good and throw out the bad, add some new concepts and design his offence around our players talents and s Its back to the drawing board on offence. If Wally wants to play his “root, toot we just gotta execute’ number his farewell tour is going to be a miserable one.
Its all about ACCOUNTABILITY. I predicted our Leos would finish 3rd in the West, as did Sir Percival and David, but we did not predict our won-lost record for 2018.
B.C. Fan, ever the optomiist predicted a 12-6 Leos season. Based on our talent, I don't think he was over-optomisitic at all. Squishy 35 and dodger also predicted a 12-6 season.Toppy Van predicted a 9-9 season as did maxlion. Sammy Green and Rammer predicted an 8-10 record while the Pauser and Cromartie thought our Leos would go 10-8, and Hambone predicted our Leos would win at least 10 games. Kamloops Lion Starter thought our Leos would go 11-7.
West Coast Joe posted all kinds of comments but was as hard to pin down as mercury.
AVENGING OUR LOSS
Hopefully this game, we’ll give Lulay the ability to go deep early, if he chooses to and open up our offence from the start of the contest.The last time we played the Riders we lost to them at home. Travis Lulay only completed 58% of his passes for 240 yds. We kicked 5 field goals in the game, as we struggled to get into the end zone.
Our defense should be able to play man against McAdoo’s RPO scheme.
WRAPEven though we lost to the Riders last time at home, it was not the fault of our defense. They held Collaros to 59% passing and only 215 yds. while limiting the Riders Mason to only 57 yds rushing
Our Leos should be wearing deep orange and black for this contest. But instead we’ll be wearing creamsicle, a color that does not reflect the power and passion of our defense or the danger of our offence, if given opportunity.
Lets play some exciting offensive football, as we have shown we are capable of, when the reins are loosened.Hopefully, Jarious Jackson will continue to wean himself from MaAdoo’s approach to offense and continue an evolution to becoming his own man as an offensive coordinator.
Hopefully, he’ll play man for most of the game and not get tempted to return to zone if we have a lead or play it in the shadows of our own goal posts, as he sometimes reverts back to.Mark Washington has learned this season that the old passive zone is not such a good thing, to say the least.
Go Leos Go!
It should be a great game.