Leos Prepare to Play Stamps in West Final

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Blitz
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Our beloved B.C. Lions take on the Calgary Stampeders on Sunday, with a berth to the 2016 Grey Cup game on the line. Our 12-6 Leos are coming off a huge, thrilling come from behind win over the Blue Bombers. The 15-2-1 Calgary Stampeders are coming off a bye week and a bye for finishing in first place in the West.

The Stamps are an outstanding team that was a purrfect 9-0 at home this season. Our Leos are an excellent road team that went 6-3 away from home in 2016. Lets have a closer look at this game.

LIFE IS LIKE A BOX OF CHOCOLATES. YOU NEVER KNOW WHAT YOU ARE GOING TO GET

Forest Gump said "Life is like a box of chocolates. You never know what you are going to get'. We don't know what the outcome of this game will be but we do know what we are going to get.
We are getting the two best teams in the CFL in the West Final. We are getting a game between two teams that really should be the Grey Cup game
We are also getting a game in which the opposition (our Leos) has the best chance to beat the Stamps. We beat the Stamps at home this season and we outplayed them in Calgary in our second game of the season. The only other loss the Stamps experienced this season was when they rested Bo Levi Mitchell and a few other regulars at the end of the season.

The reality is that the talent between both of these teams is very, very close. That could be seen in the first game, when we defeated the Stamps at home. It could be seen in the second game, in Calgary, when Jennings threw for 374 yards to Bo Levi Mitchell's 364 yards as the very inexperienced Jennings outdueled Bo Levi Mitchel for most of the contest.
But in the third game, in B.C. the Stamps superior coaching showed up.


The Stamps went Man/Cover 2, mixing in some Zone/Cover 2 against our explosive passing attack and shut our offence down. Khari Jones had no answers. That game became the formula for almost every opposing defensive coordinator in the league.

The Stamps defence shut down our offence so bad that Jennings was pulled afer a mind numbing 45% completion rate, with no one open to throw to and Lulay couldn't move the offence either. The Stamps pitched a shutout against our offence in the second half of the game and we didn't score a touchdown in the entire game. Offensively, the Stamps rolled for 37 points against our defense as Bo Levi Mitchell completed 74% of his passes for 340 yds of passing.
'The Legend" Wally Buono had been completely outfoxed and outsmarted by former Leo and rookie Head Coach Dave Dickenson.
What should have been a very close contest between two equally talented teams, that had battled each other down to the wire in the first two contest, turned into a wipeout for the Stamps.

Jones made some major adjustments to our offence in the final three games of the season - more crossing patterns, using the tailback in the passing attack, moving receivers around more, more motion, the bunch formation,and some shorter routes while also adding a sprinkle of new plays as the fullback screen, the fly sweep, the fullback cross block for the inside zone read, and even added one zone read option last game (which was critical to open up our inside zone read by keeping the opposing defensive end honest and also convert some second and short run plays that we were getting shut down on in the last part of the season.

But defensively, we haven't changed a lot of things, except to use Bighill, at times, as a two deep safety or a three deep middle safety. Our defensive performance has slipped in the second half of this season, while our offence has gotten better. We put up 529 yards of offence against the Bombers in the West Final.

A key change was the very late addition of Paul McCallum, which provides the calm knowledge that we have a field goal kicker that can be relied upon more than Leone.

STUPID IS AS STUPID DOES

When Forest Gump said "Stupid is as stupid does' he was saying that our previous actions tell us everything. You either repeat the past or you learn from it.
If we want to win this game we cannot be outcoached.
We don't have to outcoach Calgary but we cannot let them outcoach us, like they did in the last time we played them in the regular season. How do we ensure that doesn't happen?
Most important of all, we need our coaching staff to better mentally prepare our players for the start of the game.


Byran Burnham said, after the West Semi-Final that Wally has 'presence'. No question that he does. But 'presence' can be both a good thing and a bad thing.

This season was a turn around season, mostly due to Jonathan Jennings. But Buono has also had a very positive effect on this Leos team. His presence, his high expectations for players performance, his demandingness, his brutal honesty in talking to players, his willingness to give the room to his vet player leaders, have all played at role in turning this team around too.
Wally Buono has a record of too many poor starts in playoff games.
Some of that is due to predictability. Buono's philosophy has been "Keep on keeping on', which basically has meant doing the same things that got us there. In the playoffs, Buono is not going to do what Paul LaPolice did to us in the first half of last weeks game and surprise. If life is like a box of chocolates, with Buono you know what you are going to get. His argument would be 'try to stop us'.

But Buono's teams in the playoffs have come out nervous, uptight, and mistake prone too often. You could see the pressure and nerves in Buono's face in the last few contests as he badly wanted a home playoff berth and also to win the Semi-Final. He's lost his temper on the sidelines more in the past few games than he did all season, when he was much calmer for most of this year.
Buono needs to get back to being more composed and confident before a game.


His players will sense that and perform better to start the game, instead of being all nervous and therefore lose focus. Buono is a fighter. Our Leos fight like he does should we be down. We'll play to the final whistle. Buono doesn't give up and hates to lose. His players reflect that. But Calgary is a team that will be difficult to 'fight' back if we give them too much of an early lead.

Ryan Phillips, who was one of many Leos badly beaten in the first half of the Semi-Final, when we gave up 25 first half points said "It was the simple things that were killing us in the first half,” said Phillips. “Busted coverages, a lack of communication. Things we had been doing for 18 weeks". Sol E added "We were making a lot of dumb mistakes in the first half. I feel like in the first half we let our Then we recomposed ourselves.”
Ryan Phillps comments "We have to go out there mentally focused. That team (Calgary) is not going to let us come back from a deficit like that. They don’t kill themselves. They are a disciplined team.”
No truer words could be said.

We also need to be well prepared for Calgary, game plan wise. Last game, against the Bombers our offence was mostly very disciplined. We played very smart, passionate offensive football. Every player made key plays for us on offence. The early fumble was unfortunate and just a very good football play.

When the Bombers stopped us on second and two early in the game, we ran the zone read option for the first time this season the next time on second and short, It worked and changed the complexion of the game for our running attack. Jeremiah Johnson, realizing the Bombers were really focused on stopping our inside zone read inside, cut hard outside on some impressive cut back runs.

We need to add a quick toss play to stretch the defense with our run game. If Calgary is willing to run a lot of sweeps with Messam, there is sure in the hell no reason why we shouldn't be doing the same with Rainey and Johnson.

We used our other receivers and were not Manny-centric or Burnham-centric. Jennings threw his most passes to Stephen Adekolu (5 receptions). He hit Iannuzzi with key passes on the final drive. We used Rainey on sideline routes for two key second downs, rather than just trying to hit him with a swing pass that would have been stopped.
Khari Jones and Jonathan Jennings both did exceptionally smart things in the Semi-Final. You don't put up the numbers we did without doing a lot of smart things on offence.
But three coaching errors cost us. The first was throwing to Arseneaux and Burnham right off the 'get go'. That led to Arseneaux hurting his ankle on the first reception breakup and an interception early on a comeback route. The comeback route was a pre-designed primary read. Had Khari Jones read Lionbackers all week he would have been advised not to throw early to our two primary receivers because that was what the Bombers would be keying on early.
Secondly, we blew converts by having our receivers so spread out and then having them run deep patterns into the end zone, when a simple bunch formation, with a quick throw would be so much wiser.
Spreading the receivers out means the quarterback needs more time for the throw and running them deep also means he needs more time to throw. The football is on the three yard line. Thirty yard throws make no sense at all and they are designed plays.

The controversial Loffler hit on Arseneax has created a lot of attention this week for good reason. Manny was vulnerable and badly hurt. But the play should never have happened in the first place. Why doesn Jones have Manny running a deep route over the middle against Cover 2. The only reason that Manny should have been running that route was to be used as a decoy.
Calgary defensive tackle Turner, who will suit up for the Stmaps this game said "They want to command the line of scrimmage, run the ball and throw that deep ball to Manny (Arceneaux).”
We've lived by the sword for most of the season with our vertical passing attack. Defenses were giving up a lot to try to stop it. We avoided throwing into double coverage all game, except for that one play to Manny. Now he is hurt. Even if Loffler had held up on the hit, it was a pass we should not have thrown. It was a route that should not have been in the playbook for this game.

But our offence has been outstanding for so long now, in terms of racking up yards and putting points on the board.
Its our defence that is letting us down too often, although they have come up with coming up with key stops late in games. But they have relied too much on our offence in the second half of this season. Mark Washington said, after the game "The reason I don’t have hair is because of the first half. “We changed our scheme a little bit (in the second half).
Oh really!! Washington was not prepared to play the Bombers. We knew Nichols would use misdirection sprint outs and we had no plan to stop that. We knew early they would go to the flats and we had our linebackers playing the hook zones. Once again, all Washington would have needed to do was read a few Lionbackers posts and he would have had his defense better prepared.

When we 'adjusted' Sol E. came up hard to the flat area against Harris and we shut that down, and prevented Harris from breaking free. in the second half we managed more pressure, forcing Nichols to hurry some throws. We also shut down Winnipeg’s short passing game in the second half and we held the Bombers to two field goals in the second half.
If Washington wants to keep whatever hair he has remaining, he needs to get smarter a lot quicker...like before a game rather than half time. He also needs to get smarter and not be so fearful at the end of a game too.
On the last Bomber drive of the game, after we had shut down the Bombers offence all second half, by keying on their short passing attack, Washington ran Biggie back to safety on that final drive. It was a good thing that Bazzie knocked down that second down throw from Nichols. The Bombers were throwing short to drive to field goal range and we had Bighill 30 yards back covering nobody.

MAMA SAYS THEY WERE MAGIC SHOES. THEY COULD TAKE ME ANYWHERE

Jonathan Jennings wore magic shoes in the West Semi-Final. His two running touchdowns were critical to our victory. His last touchdown run the 'Immaculate Run' led us to victory. His option run, off the zone read, was very important to opening up our running attack that put up 193 yds. of rushing between Johnson, Rainey, and Jennings.

Jonathan Jennings is the best pure passer I have ever seen play in the CFL and that includes Flutie, Cavillo, Brock and all the quarterback greats. As a Leo quarterback Kapp was tough as nails, Tagge was fearless, Dewalt a good long ball thrower, Dickenson was accurate in the short and intermidate range, Printers could throw very well on the run, Lulay was an excellent double threat quarterback when he got outside, but none of them can throw like Jennings.
His accuracy on the long ball is unworldly. He can flick his wrist, while off balance, and throw a bullet 30 yards into a tight window.
When Mike Beamish seemed to be angling for Lulay to take over the starters spot a few games ago I was upset. This Leo team needed Jennings badly to win. Jennings has Buono's back for very good reasons. Buono may not make the best third down calls but he knows greatness in a quarterback when he sees it in game action.

Tedford may have discovered Jennings but Wally was wise enough to know what he had. I highly doubt that Buono would have returned to the sidelines this season, if he didn't have Jennings as his starter or recognize the talent on this team at the end of last year.
If I had the choice of Bo Levi or Jenings as my quarterback I would take Jennings.
Bo Levi usually has all day to throw. But if we want to beat the Stamps, we'll need to take advantage of every tool in our tool box. A big advantage that Jennings brings is his ability to run.

Against Man/Cover 2, the defensive backs often have their backs to the football. If Manny plays, and perhaps even if he doesn't, the Stamps will play Cover 2. That gives them five in the box against our spread set. If they rush four, that means their middle linebacker has to cover both the tailback and Jennings. Can't be done if Jennings will run. But we'll need to use misdirection play action.
Jennings must also be willing to take off outside, if no one is open and the middle linebacker covers the tailback. If he doesn't then we throw to the tailback. Easy peasy, if we are wiling to do it.
Khari Jones needs to PLEASE STOP using the quick swing pass to Rainey. Instead, he needs to use Rainey differently, using him on patterns and delays out of the backfield. Same thing for Jeremiah. The screen pass will be there also, as will the quarterback draw.

ALWAYS BE ABLE TO LOOK BACK AND SAY I DIDNT' LEAD NO HUMDRUM LIFE
Our Leos brain trust needs to face facts. You don't beat a team like Calgary playing afraid to lose.


We can't play 'hide under your mother's dress' defence. We're the underdogs.

The Stamps only allowed 20 sacks this season. They have a multi-dimensional offence. They rotate in all their receivers. They put up the most points in the CFL. We can't just leave Bo Levi to sit in the pocket all game, eating a hot dog, while looking downfield for an open receiver because he will find one. We can't just blitz the hell out of him either, because the Stamps have the best anti-blitz offence in the CFL. But we can't be passive. We really have to mix things up.

Our defense tied with Calgary for most sacks in the CFL, but other than the Riders game, when we had 7 sacks, we've done a lousy job of getting quarterback pressure and sacks for too long now. We have the lineup to do it. Bazzie has to have a big game. Menard has made a big difference to Roh's play but this is a game that Roh has to really step up. Bryant Turner Jr. really adds to our lineup inside, complimenting Brooks and Westerman. We should have been using him all year.

We can't just use the Bighill/Sol E. A and B gap blitz. The Stamps will be ready for it and their offensive line is excellent. We need to blitz Sol E. and Biggie differenty and use Lokombo and Purifoy on some blitzes. We also have to play Calgary's receivers tighter than we usually play most team's receivers. Calgary is too good to just sit back and hope that mistakes will be made on throws or we can just come up and make tackles short of the first down.
In other words, we can't just play hum drum defence.


We have to be well prepared, with a great defensive game plan and be ready to play from the opening whistle...or Washington will have no hair left at the end of this game. In other words we have to play a smart but an aggressive smart game.

WE WERE LIKE PEAS AND CARROTS

Jonathan Jennings and Manny Aresneaux have been like 'peas and carrots' this season. They have been a joy to watch play together. Bryan Burnham has had an exceptional season - he is fearless, as well as talented.
But, as Jennings is our cool, poised, determined general and leader under pressure, Manny has been the heart and soul of our offence. I would love to see Manny play. It will be so much tougher to win without him.
.

But we can, if Manny can't go.
Cauz said, after the West Semi-Final, "It’s easy for a good quarterback to look elite when everything is going your way, but what about when you’re down 25-6 with fewer than two minutes in the first half? What about when you lose you best target, in this case Emmanuel Arceneaux, who was knocked out of the game with seven minutes to go in the third quarter?

It’s far easier for any signal caller to succeed when you’re playing with a lead with a healthy team and the opposing defence has no idea what you’re going to do. Go back and watch that game-winning drive by the Lions and you’ll see Jennings convert four second downs culminating with that touchdown run. In all of the chaos Jennings looked like the calmest player on the field.
If Manny can't go, we'll have to either insert Douglas McNeil a 6'3", 200 pound receiver who can run the 40 in 4.46. Athletically he’s really impressive, he has a 36-inch vertical leap, he has long arms and is very good at catching the ball at its highest point. Its either him or speedy Shaq Johnson or alternating them.

We came back with two long winning touchdown drives using Adekolu, Iannuzzi, Sinkfield and Burnham. All will have to step up if Manny is not able to dress.

NEVER LOSE YOUR SENSE OF WONDER

No matter what happens in this game, we've seen some special things this season.
Just when you think you've seen it all and are almost jaded, this season has been invigorating and special
Its been my favorite seasson of all of them and I don't need a Grey Cup victory to still feel that way. Its magical to see a young quarterback like Jennings lead so many game winning drives. Its been special to see the Manny Show performing at its best. Its been inspiring to see Burnham make so many plays with his hands, his feet, and his heart.

Its been 'out of my chair excitement' to see Chris Rainey cut on a dime and leave defenders wondering what happened or to see him stick his head into the middle of the defense and come out of a pile like lightning. Its been gratifying to see my faith in Hunter Steward rewarded by knocking huge defensive tackles on their back or pancake a linebacker. It was joyous to see Stephen Adekolu, a player I wanted to see play badly, come up with five key receptions in a playoff game, when he only had two career receptions going into the game against the Bombers.
Its been inspirational to see Sol E. recover from a brutal Achilles heal injury to once again be the CFl's best defender.


Its been satisfying to be patient and finally see our Leos brain trust finally go with Bryant Turner Jr. instead of Darius Allen, rotate in three defensive tackles with Brooks and Westerman comprising the other two parts of the trio and using Menard, as well as Row at defensive end.

Its been a treat to watch Anthony Gaitor play with so such aggressiveness and celebrate victories with such joy or watch a Purifoy make a game saving tackle with so much heart and hustle. Its been memorable to see a 46 year old retired field goal kicker in Mcallum, whom I didn't want us to let go, come back out of retirement and with only a short week of practice, be purrfect in his first game back and hit a longer attempt as well - amazing. And its been gratifying to see Wally Buono, even though he drives me crazy at times and frustrates the hell out of me too, return to the sidelines at 66 years old and have such a successful season.

This season has made the Cardiac Kids seem dull, the Joe Kapp 1964 season seem almost ordinary, and the Dewalt led Grey Cup season almost uninspiring in comparison. Its made the 2000 season seem mediocre in comparsion and the 2006 season a diminished memory. Only the 1994 and 2011 seasons compare but it didn't have as many exciting moments.
There have been so many special plays and special moments, its almost been surreal.
I DONT' KNOW IF WE HAVE A DESTINY OR IF WE'RE JUST FLOATING AROUND ACCIDENTAL LIKE A BREEZE

I don't know if our Leos players have a destiny or we're a breeze.
But one thing I do feel is that these Leos players have played their hearts out for each other and have a special chemistry that the Football Gods have sent down from above.
Our Leos led the CFL in rushing. The Stamps have the CFL's leading rusher. Both quarterbacks are leaders. Both offences threw for a lot of passing yards. Our offence averaged 401 yds. of offence per game this season. The Stamps offence averaged 398 yds. per game. But with a better field goal kicker for most of the season, the Stamps scored more points.

The Stamps gave up the least points in the CFL this season - an average of 20.5 points per game. Our defence was third in the CFL- giving up an average of 25.2 points per contest. Both teams tied for the league lead in quarterback sacks. Our Leos gave up an average of 398 yds. per contest while the Stamps gave up 399 yds. average per contest.

Both defenses were the excellent against the run (Calgary 72.4 yds. per contest, B.C. 72.7 yds. per game). Calgary gave up 290.2 yds. per contest while we gave up 291.4.yd. average per game. Both teams were the least penalized teams in the league.

Its a huge game on Sunday. Win or lose, this Leos team will fight the good fight. I hope our coaches will give them every tool to play the best game of their lives. The odds are against us.
May the Football Gods be with us.
Go Leos!! :roar: :roar: :roar: :roar: :roar: :roar: :roar: :roar: :roar: :roar: :roar: :roar: :roar: :roar: :roar: :roar:
"When I went to Catholic high school in Philadelphia, we just had one coach for football and basketball. He took all of us who turned out and had us run through a forest. The ones who ran into the trees were on the football team". (George Raveling)
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squishy35
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Holy Crap Blitz...... You must type 100 words / minute.....


Great in depth analysis. I agree that the Lions' defence needs to play their best game of the season with lots of pressure on BLM all game.
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Robbie
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Blitz wrote:When Forest Gump said "Stupid is as stupid does' he was saying that our previous actions tell us everything. You either repeat the past or you learn from it.
So that said, any lessons learned from the last time the Lions played in Calgary for the WDF in 2008 in a game that the Lions had every chance to win but continuously blew their opportunities to score majors?

And what did the Lions do correctly in the 2000 WDF to win convincingly and should continue to do 16 years later?

I'd say be confident but do not be overconfident by any means, and pressure Bo Levi Mitchell continuously. Solomon Elimimian should provide good leadership for his defence which is required to win this important game just like how Herman Smith and Eric Carter led a great defensive group of Lions to contain the 2000 MOP Dave Dickenson by forcing eight turnovers for a deserving win the last time the Lions won the WDF in Calgary.
祝加拿大加式足球聯賽不列颠哥伦比亚卑詩雄獅隊今年贏格雷杯冠軍。此外祝溫哥華加人隊贏總統獎座·卡雲斯·甘保杯·史丹利盃。還每年祝溫哥華白頭浪隊贏美國足球大联盟杯。不要忘記每年祝溫哥華巨人贏西部冰球聯盟冠軍。
改建後的卑詩體育館於二十十一年九月三十日重新對外開放,首場體育活動為同日舉行的加拿大足球聯賽賽事,由主場的卑詩雄獅隊以三十三比二十四擊敗愛民頓愛斯基摩人隊。
祝你龍年行大運。
恭喜西雅图海鹰直到第四十八屆超級盃最終四十三比八大勝曾拿下兩次超級盃冠軍的丹佛野馬拿下隊史第一個超級盃冠軍。
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David
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Blitz wrote:This season has made the Cardiac Kids seem dull, the Joe Kapp 1964 season seem almost ordinary, and the Dewalt led Grey Cup season almost uninspiring in comparison. Its made the 2000 season seem mediocre in comparsion and the 2006 season a diminished memory. Only the 1994 and 2011 seasons compare but it didn't have as many exciting moments.
Great read, Blitz. I don't remember a team like this one either. "Game Balls" has been a must-see feature. I really appreciate the players and the organization for allowing this post-game insight into their lives. It truly is a band of brothers. And they're not playing up for the camera either. It's very raw and genuine. Nothing contrived. It sure appears that anyone on the team would run through a wall for their teammate.

I don't recall this happening to this extent before. Even in 2011 when we won the Cup, it came out that Andrew Harris was very outspoken about Khalif Mitchell (who had divided the room). And the 1994 winners fought like the Hatfields and McCoys. I'm not saying you have to be a tight group to win the Grey Cup, but it sure doesn't hurt. Credit Wally and Neil for assembling a club comprised of players with an enormous amount of character.


DH :cool:
Roar, You Lions, Roar
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B.C.FAN
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Excellent preview, Blitz. I think I agree with all of it. This game comes down to coaching.

The Lions and Stamps have proved they are the two best teams in the league. On paper they match up well. When healthy, the Lions may have more high-end talent with Arceneaux and Burnham combining for nearly 3,000 receiving yards during the season, Rainey leading the league in all-purpose yards and Elimimian and Bighill dominating defensively. Calgary’s top receiver, wily slotback Marquay McDaniel, barely cracked 1,000 receiving yards before being rested in the final game of the year.

The three-game season series between these teams swung on two late interceptions in the second game, which the Lions had led by 15 points in the final three minutes, only to lose 44-41 in OT. That was the most high scoring and offensive-oriented game of the series. Defences generally prevailed in the series and neither team dominated statistically. The Lions passed for more yards in two of the three games but the Stamps had a higher passing average, 313 yards to 272, thanks to a better third game. Neither team had much success rushing. The only time a team picked up more than 100 yards on the ground was in the second game, when Calgary rushed for 103 yards. Both teams averaged about 400 yards of offence on the season but were held below that total in the three-game series.

The biggest difference between the teams is in coaching philosophy. In the playoffs, Wally Buono and his coaching staff always believe in sticking with what brought them there. Dave Dickenson believes more in tailoring his game plan to exploit specific weaknesses. A classic example of that was the 2012 West Final when Dickenson, as Calgary offensive coordinator, saw things on film and exploited the B.C. secondary with three deep TD passes, the first just 30 seconds into the game, as the Stamps built a 31-16 lead after three quarters and held on to win 34-29. The Stamps put the Lions in a hole and the Lions ran out of time to dig themselves out.

The Lions won the WSF last week despite being out-coached. I was shocked at the Lions’ offensive game plan. Manny Arceneaux and Bryan Burnham carried the Lions into the playoffs and the coaching staff was determined to ride them as far as they could, even though Winnipeg’s defence overplayed the middle of the field and often double or triple-teamed them. The Lions got off on the wrong foot, literally, when they opened with a slant pass to Arceneaux into coverage. The pass was knocked down and Arceneaux turned his ankle on the play, limping back to the huddle. Despite the injury, the Lions went back to Arceneaux on the second play. His leg buckled when he planted it, and Chris Randle intercepted the ball to set up the Bombers’ opening touchdown. It wasn’t until Arceneaux left the game in the third quarter on the vicious end-zone hit by Taylor Loffler that the Lions adjusted their offence and started to take what the Winnipeg defence was giving them. Jennings completed his final 11 passes, 10 of them to Rainey, Iannuzzi, Adekolu and Sinkfield and only one to Burnham. A balanced passing attack, using the full width of the field, keeps a defence off balance and opens holes in the middle of the field for the running game, the inside passing game and quarterback scrambles like the one that won the WSF.

I’m not worried about turnovers deciding this game. (Blitz, did you read that?) The Lions lost the overtime game in Calgary when Jennings threw two late interceptions, but turnovers were not otherwise a factor in the three games between these teams. Each team turned the ball over five times. Anything can happen in the playoffs, especially if the weather is bad, but that can affect either team. The B.C. and Calgary defences rank first and second in the league in fewest yards allowed during the regular season but neither team lives on turnovers like the Bomber defence did this year.

I expect to see a close and fairly low-scoring game. Converts could be the deciding factor, and that’s another area where the teams are almost identical on paper. The Lions attempted a league-high 24 2-point converts in the regular season, converting 13 of them before going 0 for 3 in the WSF. The Stamps were right behind them, attempting 21 2-point converts, converting 12 of them. B.C. ranked eighth in 1-point convert success rate at 84% (mostly using Richie Leone) while Calgary ranked last at 81%. Paul McCallum’s 46-year-old right leg could be the key to this game if the Lions choose to use him.
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David
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B.C.FAN wrote:The Lions won the WSF last week despite being out-coached. I was shocked at the Lions’ offensive game plan. Manny Arceneaux and Bryan Burnham carried the Lions into the playoffs and the coaching staff was determined to ride them as far as they could, even though Winnipeg’s defence overplayed the middle of the field and often double or triple-teamed them. The Lions got off on the wrong foot, literally, when they opened with a slant pass to Arceneaux into coverage. The pass was knocked down and Arceneaux turned his ankle on the play, limping back to the huddle. Despite the injury, the Lions went back to Arceneaux on the second play. His leg buckled when he planted it, and Chris Randle intercepted the ball to set up the Bombers’ opening touchdown. It wasn’t until Arceneaux left the game in the third quarter on the vicious end-zone hit by Taylor Loffler that the Lions adjusted their offence and started to take what the Winnipeg defence was giving them. Jennings completed his final 11 passes, 10 of them to Rainey, Iannuzzi, Adekolu and Sinkfield and only one to Burnham. A balanced passing attack, using the full width of the field, keeps a defence off balance and opens holes in the middle of the field for the running game, the inside passing game and quarterback scrambles like the one that won the WSF.
This is classic Wally Buono playoff M.O. though. Let them adjust to us. Just keep doing what got us here (not what we saw them do on film last time we played them and they completely neutralized our two main weapons!). Just play fast and physical.

Also interesting to hear Wally's prickly post-game exchange with Ed Willes. Exasperated by how Ed characterized JJ's early struggles on Sunday, Wally said that it's not always on the quarterback, sometimes the receiver doesn't come back to the ball. I wonder if he realizes that the reason that Manny was slow to curl back on the Randle INT was that he was playing on a twisted ankle from the first play of the game....a play in which he probably shouldn't have even been targeted in the first place!


DH :cool:
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David wrote:Also interesting to hear Wally's prickly post-game exchange with Ed Willes. Exasperated by how Ed characterized JJ's early struggles on Sunday, Wally said that it's not always on the quarterback, sometimes the receiver doesn't come back to the ball. I wonder if he realizes that the reason that Manny was slow to curl back on the Randle INT was that he was playing on a twisted ankle from the first play of the game....a play in which he probably shouldn't have even been targeted in the first place!
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Yes. I noticed that too--it was a bit much to expect Manny to perform at the required level with that ankle. I think I also saw Sinkfield limping a bit early in the game.
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David wrote:
B.C.FAN wrote:The Lions won the WSF last week despite being out-coached. I was shocked at the Lions’ offensive game plan. Manny Arceneaux and Bryan Burnham carried the Lions into the playoffs and the coaching staff was determined to ride them as far as they could, even though Winnipeg’s defence overplayed the middle of the field and often double or triple-teamed them. The Lions got off on the wrong foot, literally, when they opened with a slant pass to Arceneaux into coverage. The pass was knocked down and Arceneaux turned his ankle on the play, limping back to the huddle. Despite the injury, the Lions went back to Arceneaux on the second play. His leg buckled when he planted it, and Chris Randle intercepted the ball to set up the Bombers’ opening touchdown. It wasn’t until Arceneaux left the game in the third quarter on the vicious end-zone hit by Taylor Loffler that the Lions adjusted their offence and started to take what the Winnipeg defence was giving them. Jennings completed his final 11 passes, 10 of them to Rainey, Iannuzzi, Adekolu and Sinkfield and only one to Burnham. A balanced passing attack, using the full width of the field, keeps a defence off balance and opens holes in the middle of the field for the running game, the inside passing game and quarterback scrambles like the one that won the WSF.
This is classic Wally Buono playoff M.O. though. Let them adjust to us. Just keep doing what got us here (not what we saw them do on film last time we played them and they completely neutralized our two main weapons!). Just play fast and physical.

Also interesting to hear Wally's prickly post-game exchange with Ed Willes. Exasperated by how Ed characterized JJ's early struggles on Sunday, Wally said that it's not always on the quarterback, sometimes the receiver doesn't come back to the ball. I wonder if he realizes that the reason that Manny was slow to curl back on the Randle INT was that he was playing on a twisted ankle from the first play of the game....a play in which he probably shouldn't have even been targeted in the first place!

DH :cool:
The reason that I am a huge, huge Billichick fan (strategy wise) is that his New England Patriots are "like a box of chocolates. You never know what you are going to get from one season to the next or one game to the next or one play to the next". It makes it hell to prepare for them. They are also innovators and not copy cats. When most teams are all doing the same thing, Bellichick is doing something different.

Dickenson will make some changes to his offence. Its the way he thinks.

I thought Paul LaPolice had a great game plan for our Leos and exploited our defense early. Khari Jones has made a lot of improvements to our offence. The reason that we got beaten so bady in the third game against Calgary was we were still trying to run almost a pure spread five receiver offence with a vertical passing attack against a Man/Cover 2. We were unprepared.

Jones has slowly adjusted the offence to add a lot more. Examples against Man/Cover 2 that he is doing - more motion (important against man defence), more four receiver to the wide side sets (sets up better single man on the boundary side), more crossing patterns (type of pattern to use against Man/Cover 2, and now using our tailback in pass patterns rather than just swing routes.

Last game we used the zone read option that I was almost praying for but we only used it once. If we would do that a couple of times early, it will make the Stamps ends respect it, and open up our inside run. We also need to use a pitch toss.

Jennings has made some huge runs because there is no one to stop him against Man/Cover 2, if he gets outside. The only linebacker is covering the tailback and the man defenders have their back to the football man covering our receivers. I laughed out loud on Jennings first touchdown run. Jennings was well past the line of scrimmage and a man defender still left him alone, he was so paranoid of man covering our receiver as Jennings ran right past him. Jennings long touchdown runs lately have been due to Man/Cover 2. Once he gets outside, there is usually no one to tackle him.

On Jennings Immaculate Run to win the game against the Bombers, it was Loffler, the safety, who had to try to come up and stop him and Jennings head faked him and gave him a stagger move to burn him..but you don't often see a deep safety as the only one who can tackle the quarterback. That's the weakness of Man/Cover 2 but we have to exploit it if Calgary goes to it again.

Johnson made some huge runs on his own last game. The zone read option was designed to go inside as it always is but Johnson did some jump cuts and got outside, where it was open, as Jones would not run any quick pitches or quick stretch plays. The zone read option plus Johnson bursting outside was what opened up our inside running game. Most games we just run inside, even if the opposition is in Man/Cover 2.

We need to screen more, run the quarterback draw (set it up by sending Rainey or Johnson on a decoy quick swiing as the play is being run). We need to use the bunch formation more (its a formation designed against man defence - we can run it tight but I prefer it just a bit wider, so it gets defenders away from the run play if we run the football out of that formation.

But here is what Jones is not getting - he wants to run the quick swing pass to Rainey. The man defenders peel off their receivers and shut it down. He needs to delay it.
Here is why. Keep the back in to block initially. Wait for the receivers to take their man defenders downfield. Then throw to the tailback. All he has to do is beat the middle linebacker then. If he does, its clear sailing. If you really want to make the play work run a crossing pattern and have the crossing pattern receiver screen off the middle linebacker or run the route right at him. Then throw to the tailback, who will be completely clear. Duh.
Its also important that we run some misdirection play action. It gets Jennings out of the pocket and if he gets outside, the middle linebacker has to cover the tailback or Jennings. Jennings can then dump to the tailback, who has found open space, after the fake. Lulay and Harris ran this play to almost perfection under Chap.

There should be no hitch screens or motion hitch screens, if Calgary is playing man press coverage. Jones doesn't get this. The only time we should run a hitch or motion hitch is if we see zone.
The Lions won the WSF last week despite being out-coached. I was shocked at the Lions’ offensive game plan. Manny Arceneaux and Bryan Burnham carried the Lions into the playoffs and the coaching staff was determined to ride them as far as they could, even though Winnipeg’s defence overplayed the middle of the field and often double or triple-teamed them. B.C. Fan
The problem in the game was not the game plan overall, except for the long pass into double coverage that Manny got hurt on and should never have been used. I understand us using Manny for a comeback route. But he was hurt on the first play of the game and therefore we should not have called the play. But as noted our first pass was to Manny. It should have been to any other receiver than him and better not to be Burnham either.

Even the 27 yard completion to Manny should not have been thrown. It was a good play to run Manny away from the deep safety to the sideline but the safety was closing. Manny couldn't even cut on his bad ankle at that point of the game and was basically only able to make slow turns.

I didn't have a problem with Buono sticking up for Jennings. Willes and especially Beamish have been all over Jennings too much. Instead they should have been after Buono and Khari for throwing too early to Manny and Burnham and also throwing to Manny so often right after he had hurt his ankle. Manny couldn't plant his foot on the comeback route and that was why it was picked, as you noticed David.

Great post B.C. Fan. I couldnt' wait to read it. Loved your insights. Now that you have me brainwashed to always hold a football with two hands and never ever ever ever fumble in our old timer pick up touch football games, you come up with you are not worried about turnovers in this WDF against Calgary. I think it just shows your flexibility and non-rigid thinking, :wink:
Holy Crap Blitz...... You must type 100 words / minute.....Great in depth analysis. I agree that the Lions' defence needs to play their best game of the season with lots of pressure on BLM all game.
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IMO the key to beating the Stampeder high powered offence is not to let them have the ball. Long, sustained time consuming drives. Play to win instead of playing not to lose.
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B.C Lions vs Calgary Stampeders (from the CFL staff)
HOW HAS THE EDGE?

CFL.ca Staff

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TORONTO — The Stampeders haven’t lost since Week 1 when Bo Levi Mitchell is under centre, but that season-opening ‘L’ came at the hands of the BC Lions. Calgary took two of three in the regular season, the second game going to overtime, but if anyone can solve the league-leading Stamps it’s BC. Who has the advantage going into the Western Final?
CFL.ca breaks it down position by position.

Quarterbacks

Jonathon Jennings is exciting to watch but how can you argue with this year’s likely Most Outstanding Player? No moment is too big for Bo Levi Mitchell, who can continue to cement his legacy with another Grey Cup ring.
ADVANTAGE: CALGARY

Running backs
The BC Lions had the CFL’s top rushing attack and the combination of Jeremiah Johnson and Chris Rainey is electrifying. Without them, the Lions wouldn’t have made it past Winnipeg. Jerome Messam, meanwhile, continues to be Jerome Messam. Calling this one a draw, for now.
ADVANTAGE: PUSH

Receivers
The Lions’ receiving corps is among the best in the CFL but the potential absence of Emmanuel Arceneaux could change things. Bryan Burnham and DaVaris Daniels are top-notch receivers and both teams have depth beyond those guys.
ADVANTAGE: PUSH

Offensive line
BC’s offensive line has been a large factor in the team’s success this year but no five-man unit was better than Calgary’s. The Stamps allowed the fewest sacks in the league as Bo Levi Mitchell was allowed to get very comfortable throughout most of 2016.
ADVANTAGE: CALGARY

Defensive line
The top two units in the league based on the numbers, the Stamps and Lions tied for the league lead with 52 sacks while Calgary, with 1,303 yards against on the ground per game, allowed five fewer rushing yards all season than BC (1,305).
ADVANTAGE: PUSH

Linebackers
Rookie and 2016 first round pick Alex Singleton is a beast at middle linebacker for the Stamps but how will the team fare without Deron Mayo? ‘Team 100’, composed of Adam Bighill and Solomon Elimimian, is the best in the business and Loucheiz Purifoy is the wild card.
ADVANTAGE: BC

Defensive backs
Another tight battle as the Stamps allowed 290.2 passing yards per game (third in the CFL) while the Lions gave up 291.4 per game (fourth). Youngsters like Chandler Fenner and Anthony Gaitor have improved immensely but in the end, it’s hard not to give the nod to Calgary’s veteran group.
ADVANTAGE: CALGARY

Return game
Even if the Stamps do get Roy Finch back in the fold, Chris Rainey might just be the best return man in the business. It’s fair to say the Lions have a defined advantage on punt and kickoff returns heading into the Western Final.
ADVANTAGE: BC

Kicking game
Rene Paredes connected on 87.5 per cent of his kicks this year, the third best season of his career. That gives Calgary the nod over the Lions, who will approach the position by committee with Paul McCallum on shorter kicks and Richie Leone likely on anything beyond 50.
ADVANTAGE: CALGARY
"When I went to Catholic high school in Philadelphia, we just had one coach for football and basketball. He took all of us who turned out and had us run through a forest. The ones who ran into the trees were on the football team". (George Raveling)
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I would choose Jennings as my quarterback. Jennings and Bo Levi Mitchell'ys passing numbers, passing percentage, quarterback efficiency numbers are very close, with Bo Levi having a slight edge.

Jennings threw more interceptions but then again, he threw more difficult passes and under a lot more pressure. Bo Levi often gets to sit in a rocking chair in the pocket, playing behind the best pass blocking offensive line in the league plus he sometimes has 250 pound Messam blocking for him as well.

But Jennings led our Leos to six game winning drives. Jennings is also more mobile - he finished second in quarterback rushing this season (362 yds.) to Mike Reilly (406 yds) but Jennings had the much better average per rush (5.3 yds) than Reilly (4.0).

Bon Levi Mitchell only rushed for 60 yds this season (4.3 yds. per rush)
Star of the West Semi Final

On the other hand, I know this will come out as hyperbolic but I feel what we witnessed from Jonathon Jennings is the start of something truly special. I’m not talking about a guy who will consistently put up good numbers and make a couple All-Star teams. Jennings’ play after that disastrous first quarter is the stuff that MOPs are made from.

I’m not sure what element of his game was more impressive: the mental fortitude to bounce back from those two early turnovers that led to a quick 11-0 lead for Winnipeg or the athleticism displayed as he managed to avoid being sacked in several key situations, including that nine-yard touchdown run in the final two minutes that gave BC its first lead of the day.

It’s easy for a good quarterback to look elite when everything is going your way, but what about when you’re down 25-6 with fewer than two minutes in the first half? What about when you lose you best target, in this case Emmanuel Arceneaux, who was knocked out of the game with seven minutes to go in the third quarter?

It’s far easier for any signal caller to succeed when you’re playing with a lead with a healthy team and the opposing defence has no idea what you’re going to do. Go back and watch that game-winning drive by the Lions and you’ll see Jennings convert four second downs culminating with that touchdown run. In all of the chaos Jennings looked like the calmest player on the field.

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"When I went to Catholic high school in Philadelphia, we just had one coach for football and basketball. He took all of us who turned out and had us run through a forest. The ones who ran into the trees were on the football team". (George Raveling)
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I know Wally has / had Rainey on the football equivalent of a pitch count this year but we have seen his reps with the offence increase over the last several weeks. We certainly were witness to some killer moves once he made it to the 2nd level of the Bomber defence when he lined up at running back.
What do folks think, would Rainey have a greater impact on the game if the Leo's increased his involvement in the offence and decreased their reliance on him on the teams? Say use Sinkfield more often in the return game alongside Ianuzzi but target Rainey more often in the running game. Both he and Johnson were very effective stepping up when Manny went down.
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CardiacKid wrote:I know Wally has / had Rainey on the football equivalent of a pitch count this year but we have seen his reps with the offence increase over the last several weeks. We certainly were witness to some killer moves once he made it to the 2nd level of the Bomber defence when he lined up at running back.
What do folks think, would Rainey have a greater impact on the game if the Leo's increased his involvement in the offence and decreased their reliance on him on the teams? Say use Sinkfield more often in the return game alongside Ianuzzi but target Rainey more often in the running game. Both he and Johnson were very effective stepping up when Manny went down.
Its a challenging question. Rainey thinks he can play a lot more.

Personally I would prefer Rainey to keep at least his higher number of reps on offence and perhaps a few more. I think he can also play on the punt return team. Rainey is explosive on offence and Johnson plays better when he is fresh in the game, rather than playing most of the game.

I would have Rainey on the kick return team for our first return and then use Sinkfield and Iannuzzi on the kick return team the rest of the game, but should we need Rainey, then have him back on the kick return team late in the fourth quarter.

Iannuzzi could play on both return units and be rotated on offence with Adekolu, should both Manny and Gore return. Or we could rotate in Adekolu at Gore's spot also. Gore has been out of action now for a couple of games. Ease him into the contest or give him some rest breaks.
"When I went to Catholic high school in Philadelphia, we just had one coach for football and basketball. He took all of us who turned out and had us run through a forest. The ones who ran into the trees were on the football team". (George Raveling)
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My biggest fear for this game is that Bo Levi Mitchell will slice and dice the B.C. secondary the way that Matt Nichols did on Sunday, passing for 390 yards without being sacked. Nichols is an accurate passer who showed great touch on deep passes, completing four passes of over 30 yards against the Lions and several others of over 20 yards.

B.C. was able to hold the Bombers to two field goals in the second half but Nichols still threw the ball effectively. Here are his passing stats for the two halfs :

1st half: 12/19 for 220 yards
2nd half: 14/21 for 170 yards
Totals: 26/40 for 390 yards

In the second quarter, the Bombers went 87 yards on two plays as Nichols rolled right and exploited weakness in B.C.'s back side coverage. First Gaitor and Fenner got mixed up and let Weston Dressler get behind them for 60 yards. On the next play, Ryan Smith got behind Ryan Phillips for an easy 27-yard TD, with no safety help on that side.

Smith scored his second TD later in the quarter on a corner route behind Purifoy in what looked like Cover-2 zone.

Smith and Dressler were the two smallest players on the field but the diminutive slotbacks were big targets all night. Between them they had 18 targets on Nichols' 40 pass attempts, with 10 catches for 204 yards.

Calgary's receiving corps is more balanced than that of the Lions and Bombers. Mitchell has spread the ball to all of his receivers all year. Veteran slotback Marquay McDaniel and explosive West Division rookie of the year nominee DaVaris Daniels are the biggest threats but the Stamps can exploit holes in coverage with any of their receivers.

Calgary's most effective receiver is McDaniel, who led the team with 83 catches for 1,074 yards. He's also usually Mitchell's first read on 2-point convert attempts.

Fellow slotback Kamar Jorden had 44 catches for 580 yards in just nine games, while former Ti-Cat Bakari Grant had 44 catches for 625 yards before being put on the six-game injured list for the final six games of the season. Backup slotback Lemar Durant from SFU added 35 catches for 402 yards.

On the outside, Daniels had 51 catches for 885 yards and a 17.4-yard average, right behind Bryan Burnham's league-leading average of 17.6 yards among receivers with at least 20 catches. Daniels piled up his stats in just 11 games, beginning against the Lions on Aug. 19. National wideout Anthony Parker also had 51 catches for 654 yards, including 13 catches for 182 yards in the three games against B.C.

Jerome Messam added an impressive 54 catches for 485 yards out of the backfield.

The Lions will need to play much tighter coverage than they did last week and will have to try to generate some pressure with three- and four-man rushes. They're not likely to get to Mitchell by blitzing their linebackers through the A-gap. I wouldn't even try.
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Nothing to be gain by holding Rainey back in this game. Lose and you're done for the year.
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