Our Leos have the best road record of any CFL team this season.
The Eskimos, even though they have one of the CFl's best offences are 5-7 this season. However, Edmonton played Calgary to overtime at home the last time the two teams played each other so the Eskimos are more than capable of playing excellent football.
Jason Maas has accomplished what he was expected to accomplish with Edmonton's offence.
An interesting aspect of this game is that Mike Benvedes will be coaching on the Eskimos sideline. Benevedes is now the Edmonton Eskimos Associate Head Coach and Defensive Coordinator. Benevedes, with his baseball hat worn backwards over his wrap around shades, had coached and posed for an Edmonton defense that has often struggled.
Therefore this game offers an opportunity for the return of the "Benny Bumps rating system.
Lets have a closer look at this upcoming game.
OFFENCE
Our Leos offence will be coming off its best offensive game of the season. With Hunter Steward returning to his left guard position and Antonio Johnson returning to right tackle for the departed Levy Adcock, our Leos running attack was awesome against Montreal. We rushed for 252 yards as our offensive line opened up big holes for Jeremiah Johnson and Chris Rainey and both ran the football hard and fast.
Jonathan Jennings also threw for 341 yards in that game, with Bryan Burham leading our receiving core with 138 reception yards, with a chunk of that yardage due to yards after the catch. With the run setting up the pass, our Leos put up 591 yds. of offence against a good Als defence.
Our Leos offence will be facing an Edmonton defense that has talent. Almondo Sewell, Odell Willis, Deon Lacey, Patrick Watkins, J.C. Sherritt, and Marcel Young have all shown they are capable of playing championship defence in the past. Edmonton also has added Phillip Hunt to their defensive roster after 4 seasons in the NFL.
Outside of a blow out loss in Calgary, the Eskimos have been in every game to the end, lost two overtime game, and have blown numerous big leads this season. They could be 9-3 or at least 8-4 this season if their defense had just played a little better.
In Edmonton the finger is being pointed more and more at Mike Benevedes. Earlier in the season, with having to replace a number of key starters from the Eskimos Grey Cup champion defense the season before, was given leeway. But its mid-September now and the problems of the Eskimos defense have continued.
Terry Jones of the Edmonton Sun wrote:
This is the area that our offence can exploit on Friday night. If we can give Jennings time to throw, Benevedes defense can be exploited. Edmonton's defence ranks 8th in terms of points scored against and 7th in net offence against. : They are sixth against the rush and 8th against the pass, giving up an average of 331 yds. per game. They are 8th in quarterback sacks.Benevides’ philosophy relies on front-four pressure. But when he isn’t getting it, it exposes his exceptionally weak secondary.
But most maddening is when the team is ahead, especially big, he coaches gaps in the downfield zone that become massive intentionally. They’ve cost both Hamilton and Calgary games in my opinion.
However, an offence can't be complacent against the Eskimos defense. They are 4th in interceptions and 1st in defensive touchdowns so they can be opportunistic.
DEFENCE
Shutting down the Edmonton Eskimos offence is another story. Led by one of the best quarterbacks in the CFL in Mike Reilly, Edmonton has a lot of offensive weapons. Reilly leads the CFL in passing yards, is difficult to sack (Edmonton has given up the second least sacks in the CFL) and he is a threat to run on every play. Reilly is the CFL's leading quarterback in rushing and has compiled 319 yards. running with the football so far this season.
Reilly has completed 70% of his passes this season, thrown 20 touchdown passes, and has a 101. 6 quarterback efficiency rating.
Edmonton's offence rings up more yardage each game (414 yd. average) than do the Calgary Stampeders. They have the most pass completions and the most first downs in the CFL. They also have the best second down conversion rate in the league.
Edmonton's passing attack focuses on two receivers - Adarius Bowman and Derel Walker. These two receivers lead the CFL in receiving with both well over 1,000 yards each with 6 games to play. But even though defenses realize this, the two are very difficult to contain because both have very high skill sets and are always dangerous.
Nor can a defense focus on Edmonton's passing game. The Eskimos are 3rd in CFL rushing yards and 2nd in rushing attempts.
This is a game in which are defense will need to be ready to play. The Edmonton offence presents an outstanding challenge. Our CFL lead leading sack defense will need to get good pressure on Reilly while linebackers Sol E. and Adam Bighill will need to be aware of Reilly's penchant to take off with the football.
Our secondary, hurt by injuries to Lee, Clarke, and Ronnie Yell will need to have good games. Gaitor will be tested as will all of our defensive backs. Not giving up big pass plays will be important.
First down defense is a huge key each game. Edmonton has the second best 1st down offence in the CFL, averaging 6.9 yds. per attempt. Putting Edmonton's offence in second and longer will be a key to containing Edmonton's "O".
SPECIAL TEAMS
As with all games, special teams can hold the key to victory.
Edmonton's Sean White has only missed 3 field goals this season and has the CFL's best field goal conversion rate at 90% of all attempts. Leone has improved his field goal kicking recently and has improved to a 70% success rate.
Leone continues to be the CFL's best punter with a 50.1 average. If we can force some Edmonton two and outs, Edmonton is only averaging 44.3 yds per punt and we can tilt the field for our offence. Edmonton is also last in the CFL in net punting.
Our Leos also have the best punt return average in the CFL (14.8 yds.) while Edmonton is last in this category (7.6 yds. per game).
This would be a great game for Rainey to break a huge one.
WRAP
The games of autumn bring increased importance. A win and we continue to be in second place in the West. A loss and we will be tied with the surging Blue Bombers.
Our defense will need to play one of its best games of the season while our offence takes advantage of a defense that has talent but plays a defensive style that can be exploited.
Edmonton is a much more dangerous team than their record shows. They have had a lot of very close games and defensive lapses have cost them.
We will need to be ready to play and play hard and fast. Go Leos!!!